USCF player statistics
Ulloa Cerna, Alvaro Emilio
- Gender
- Male
- FIDE
- FIDE 81490801
- US Chess reported rank
- #61,164 national · #1,846 in state
- Floor
- Regular 115 · Quick 115
- Rated games
- Regular 11 · Quick 11
US Chess record as of Sep 15, 2026
How this rating moves
Between consecutive published observations, provisional included.
- Biggest gain
- +61
- Aug 2026 to Sep 2026
- Biggest drop
- -14
- Jan 2026 to Feb 2026
- Longest rise
- 1 update
- +61 from Aug 2026 to Sep 2026
- Current run
- 2 updates
- Unchanged since Sep 2026
- Typical move
- ±8
- Mean absolute change; spread ±20.3
Regular rating in context
United States
15.2%of the comparison population has a lower rating.
12,643 lower · 38 same rating · 70,351 higher
Pennsylvania
12.7%of the comparison population has a lower rating.
328 lower · 1 same rating · 2,247 higher
Where this rating sits · United States
83,032 rated members in 50-point bands · median 850–899 · 9,990 within 100 points of 280
250–299: 2,467 members (2.9%) · highlighted band is the player’s · dashed line is the target
16.3% below 300 (13,569 of 83,032; 15.2% below 280)
Percentile over time · United States
15.2% higher than · Nov 2026 · rank #70,352 of 83,032
Since Jan 2026
+2.8 pts
How these comparisons are calculated
Chess67 calculations from the Nov 2026 monthly rating update, using the same population as the USCF statistics pages: US members classified as active in the published monthly records, excluding lifetime-coded records, provisional ratings included. Ties share a rank; “lower” is strictly lower; national and state groups overlap. The target explorer keeps the population fixed: it is a rating comparison, not a prediction of future rank. This player is outside that comparison population; no membership rank is assigned.
Published ratings by month
P marks a provisional rating; the small figure is the change since the previous published observation.
| Month | Regular | Quick |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2026 | 280 Pno change · 11 games | 276 Pno change · 11 games |
| Oct 2026 | 280 Pno change · 11 games | 276 Pno change · 11 games |
| Sep 2026 | 280 P+61 · 11 games | 276 P+61 · 11 games |
| Aug 2026 | 219 Pno change · 8 games | 215 Pno change · 8 games |
| Jul 2026 | 219 Pno change · 8 games | 215 Pno change · 8 games |
| Jun 2026 | 219 Pno change · 8 games | 215 Pno change · 8 games |
| May 2026 | 219 Pno change · 8 games | 215 Pno change · 8 games |
| Apr 2026 | 219 Pno change · 8 games | 215 Pno change · 8 games |
| Mar 2026 | 219 Pno change · 8 games | 215 Pno change · 8 games |
| Feb 2026 | 219 P-14 · 8 games | 215 P-18 · 8 games |
| Jan 2026 | 233 P5 games | 233 P5 games |