USCF player statistics

Ulloa Cerna, Alvaro Emilio

USCF 16914651PennsylvaniaUpdated: Nov 2026
Official US Chess record

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Gender
Male
US Chess reported rank
#61,164 national · #1,846 in state
Floor
Regular 115 · Quick 115
Rated games
Regular 11 · Quick 11

US Chess record as of Sep 15, 2026

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Rating format

Regular rating

280

Provisional rating · Nov 2026 · 11 published updates since Jan 2026

Nov 2026280 provisional
Jan 2026: 233 provisionalFeb 2026: 219 provisionalMar 2026: 219 provisionalApr 2026: 219 provisionalMay 2026: 219 provisionalJun 2026: 219 provisionalJul 2026: 219 provisionalAug 2026: 219 provisionalSep 2026: 280 provisionalOct 2026: 280 provisionalNov 2026: 280 provisional
Jan 2026Nov 2026
11 updates in this window · open points are provisional · guides mark US Chess classes · unpublished months are skipped, not inactivity
Overlays their published ratings on the chart; the link keeps the comparison.

Other formats against Regular

  • -4 Quick vs Regular (provisional)

    Typical for 200–299 regular players: 0 (middle half -4 to +6, 798 established members). This gap is within the typical range.

How this rating moves

Between consecutive published observations, provisional included.

Biggest gain
+61
Aug 2026 to Sep 2026
Biggest drop
-14
Jan 2026 to Feb 2026
Longest rise
1 update
+61 from Aug 2026 to Sep 2026
Current run
2 updates
Unchanged since Sep 2026
Typical move
±8
Mean absolute change; spread ±20.3

Regular rating in context

Nov 2026 update

United States

15.2%of the comparison population has a lower rating.

12,643 lower · 38 same rating · 70,351 higher

Pennsylvania

12.7%of the comparison population has a lower rating.

328 lower · 1 same rating · 2,247 higher

Where this rating sits · United States

83,032 rated members in 50-point bands · median 850–899 · 9,990 within 100 points of 280

Player · 280
01,4252,850

250–299: 2,467 members (2.9%) · highlighted band is the player’s · dashed line is the target

16.3% below 300 (13,569 of 83,032; 15.2% below 280)

Percentile over time · United States

15.2% higher than · Nov 2026 · rank #70,352 of 83,032

Since Jan 2026
+2.8 pts

Jan 2026: higher than 12.4% (rank 69,525 of 79,487)Feb 2026: higher than 11.8% (rank 73,951 of 83,940)Mar 2026: higher than 11.7% (rank 71,060 of 80,605)Apr 2026: higher than 11.7% (rank 71,297 of 80,831)May 2026: higher than 11.6% (rank 71,688 of 81,236)Jun 2026: higher than 11.8% (rank 73,352 of 83,290)Jul 2026: higher than 11.9% (rank 72,806 of 82,736)Aug 2026: higher than 11.8% (rank 73,154 of 83,080)Sep 2026: higher than 15.4% (rank 70,653 of 83,635)Oct 2026: higher than 15.3% (rank 69,895 of 82,596)Nov 2026: higher than 15.2% (rank 70,352 of 83,032)
Jan 2026Nov 2026
Each month against that month’s active pool, so pool growth and rating drift both count.
How these comparisons are calculated

Chess67 calculations from the Nov 2026 monthly rating update, using the same population as the USCF statistics pages: US members classified as active in the published monthly records, excluding lifetime-coded records, provisional ratings included. Ties share a rank; “lower” is strictly lower; national and state groups overlap. The target explorer keeps the population fixed: it is a rating comparison, not a prediction of future rank. This player is outside that comparison population; no membership rank is assigned.

United States statistics Pennsylvania statistics

Published ratings by month

P marks a provisional rating; the small figure is the change since the previous published observation.

Monthly USCF ratings for Ulloa Cerna, Alvaro Emilio
MonthRegularQuick
Nov 2026280 Pno change · 11 games276 Pno change · 11 games
Oct 2026280 Pno change · 11 games276 Pno change · 11 games
Sep 2026280 P+61 · 11 games276 P+61 · 11 games
Aug 2026219 Pno change · 8 games215 Pno change · 8 games
Jul 2026219 Pno change · 8 games215 Pno change · 8 games
Jun 2026219 Pno change · 8 games215 Pno change · 8 games
May 2026219 Pno change · 8 games215 Pno change · 8 games
Apr 2026219 Pno change · 8 games215 Pno change · 8 games
Mar 2026219 Pno change · 8 games215 Pno change · 8 games
Feb 2026219 P-14 · 8 games215 P-18 · 8 games
Jan 2026233 P5 games233 P5 games

About these statistics. Built from the monthly USCF rating updates available to Chess67. Ratings change between publications, and a missing month is not inactivity. The official US Chess record has current ratings and tournament history.